A note, as delivered
Two calls from the ledger, shown in full.
London Cocoa Futures (Sep 2026) | Pre-Open
August 6, 2026, 11:11 (GMT+3)
Bearish. The ((v)) surge came as called and fired our 4495, topping at 4570, 16 short of the 4586 line, then fell hard. We read ((i)) of 1 of (C) of ((B)) down. A close below 4298 adds confidence, cross below 4031 boosts; But, a close above 4493 lowers, crossing 4570 invalidates.
Big Picture [Repeating]: Neutral then Bearish. The multi-week rally in (B) of ((B)) is underway. A cross above 4501 boosts; But, a close below 3742 adds confidence that (C) of ((B)) is underway, and a cross below 3483 boosts it.
Lior (Lee-or) Mor | QuadriviumAnalytics.com
Research, not investment advice or a personal recommendation, and no substitute for advice that takes account of your own circumstances and needs. The author trades the markets discussed. Trading carries substantial risk of loss.
This note calls a top and stakes it on one price. The sequence has the whole advance behind it.
Read the cocoa sequence
Milling Wheat/Blé de Meunerie Futures (Sep 2026) | Pre-Open
July 24, 2026, 10:21 (GMT+3)
Bullish then Neutral. iv dropped and looks finished, so a last rally in v of (v) of ((iii)) toward 250 should complete the wave. A cross above 246.75 adds confidence; But, a close below 240.75 lowers, a cross below 235.75 drops, confirming (v) of ((iii)) ended.
Big Picture [Repeating]: Bullish. Wave 3 of (3) up is underway. A cross below 210.75 lowers confidence; a close below 200.25 invalidates.
Lior (Lee-or) Mor | QuadriviumAnalytics.com
Research, not investment advice. Trading carries risk of loss.
This note draws 250 above the market. The sequence has what the market did with it.
Read the wheat sequenceHow to read the charts
- Two panels
- Left, the structural view on the continuous series; right, the working timeframe on the current contract. A rollover can move the continuous series, so a level may sit at a different price on each, or on only one.
- Grid lines and zones
- Where price is expected to react.
- Thesis lines
- What raises or lowers confidence in the wave count. Early tells, early warnings, and the invalidation, each carrying its price.
- Reactions
- Marked on the line where price met it.
- Horizon
- Typically 3-10 bars ahead, on the timeframe analyzed.
- Big Picture
- The weekly frame. [Repeating] restates the prior read, [Updated] changes it; an intraday turn can lead the weekly frame by days.
- Color
- Direction, not verdict.
The Record
- Ledger
- Complete and timestamped since April 2026. Nothing removed. The complete dated ledger is at /ledger/, for readers with a credential.
- Volume
- 673 posts, 14 April through 16 September 2026. Analysis on 111 of 112 weekdays with a market open; the one missed day carried a notice on the day.
- Methodology
- Scoring rules in preparation. They publish before any score does.
- Rules
- Calls freeze at publication. The stance, the levels, and the invalidation lock as written. Wrong calls stay.
- Status
- No hit rate until every archived call is scored under those rules.
The Analyst
Lior (Lee-or) Mor. In the markets since age seventeen, specializing in futures.
Elliott Wave for structure; levels from a method of his own; seasonality, positioning, volatility, and spreads to check the read. Nothing publishes without a stated invalidation.
Formerly ran client portfolios, taught technical analysis, and spent a decade in business analytics; he writes the code that tests his work and draws his charts.
Independent: affiliated with no broker or trade house.
The name
Quadrivium is Latin for four roads. Boethius coined it around the year 500 for the four mathematical arts of the classical curriculum: arithmetic, geometry, music, and astronomy. Greek in origin, the four were taught together for roughly a thousand years. He called the quadrivium the road from the senses to certain knowledge. Quadrivium Analytics took the name because every market call is also four roads to one answer: which way, at what price, in what structure, and when.
The trial
Two weeks: the notes for all five markets, by email and in the ledger on this site, under a credential issued to your firm.
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